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New sales of variable annuities recovered moderately in the second quarter, increasing 4.3% to $31.2 billion from a multiyear low of $30 billion in the first quarter. Sales were still down 24% from second-quarter 2008 sales of $41.1 billion, however.
The improvement was far from broad-based, with some companies showing large declines from the first quarter and others posting significant increases. Some companies, such as Phoenix with an 82% drop in sales, show signs of all but exiting the business, while larger companies such as ING (down 39%) and AXA Equitable (down 37%), suffered large drops due to the closing or modification of their living-benefit guarantees. Allianz (down 55%) was also a major decliner, largely as a result of falling back from dramatically elevated first-quarter sales driven by advisors scrambling to close business prior to the termination of guarantees.
LEADING THE PACK
Big gainers were Ohio National (up 101%), Guardian (up 99%), Prudential (up 60%) and NY Life (up 54%). Ohio National and NY Life continue to offer accumulation benefits, while Guardian and Prudential have lifetime withdrawal benefits.
Assets under management also saw the first increase in several quarters, gaining 11.3% to $1,187 million, from $1,067 million in the first quarter. The increase in total assets was driven in large part by positive returns in U.S. equities, as the S&P 500 rose 15.2% over the same period. Assets in fixed accounts increased by 0.7% after dropping 2% in the first quarter, while money market assets fell 9.6% in their second straight quarterly drop.
Assets in large-cap blends, where nearly a quarter of separate account assets are invested, grew by 19.4%, indicating positive flows in addition to market gains. Overall, assets and flow data in the quarter indicate an increasing appetite for riskier asset classes.
TAKING CONTROL
MetLife again led in sales with a 14.4% market share, followed closely by TIAA-CREF (11.5%), Prudential (10.8%), Jackson National (7.2%) and Lincoln National (6.1%). The concentration of sales in top companies is at a historical high point. These top five companies represented 50% of second- quarter sales, versus the top five companies claiming 46% of sales five years ago. This trend is likely to continue as some companies find it difficult to compete effectively in the guaranteed- income benefit market, which is perhaps an apt description of the majority of the VA market today.
SETTING THE STANDARD
Jackson National's Perspective II product led retail sales, followed by Prudential Apex II, John Hancock Venture, MetLife Investors Series L, and Perspective L, Jackson National's L-share version of the Perspective product. All five continue to offer living benefits, albeit at a higher cost and/or lower potential benefit. Fully 75% of sales reported in the second quarter were in qualified plans, indicating that living- and death-benefit guarantees are very much in focus.
Just over 85% of retail sales occurred in products that still offer some form of withdrawal guarantee, about the same as the percentage prior to the crisis. Investors and advisors, then, are showing a clear preference for companies and products that offer these guarantees. Companies that discontinue these benefits will find a tough row to hoe absent other external factors such as a significant increase in income and/or dividend, and capital gains taxes.
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Frank O'Connor is director of insurance solutions at Morningstar.
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